About this index & how it's been checked

The Aging Vulnerability Index (AVI) is this platform's own construction, modeled on the CDC/ATSDR Social Vulnerability Index methodology but not a CDC product and not independently validated. It combines Census ACS data on the population 65 and older β€” demographic aging pressure, economic precarity, health/disability/isolation, and housing/transportation burden β€” into a single percentile ranking of U.S. counties. The underlying inputs are official Census data; the index construction and weighting are this platform's own.

Reference-county check

A face-validity check against real counties with well-documented age profiles β€” the same method used to calibrate this platform's seasonal-community threshold. Higher percentile = more aging-vulnerable.

  • βœ“ Sumter County, FL β€” 79.8th percentile (expected HIGH, The Villages β€” often cited as the oldest-median-age U.S. county)
  • βœ“ Charlotte County, FL β€” 90.8th percentile (expected HIGH, Retirement destination)
  • βœ“ Citrus County, FL β€” 88.1th percentile (expected HIGH, Retirement destination)
  • βœ“ Highlands County, FL β€” 95.9th percentile (expected HIGH, Retirement destination)
  • βœ“ Brazos County, TX β€” 17.0th percentile (expected LOW, Texas A&M)
  • βœ“ Story County, IA β€” 8.9th percentile (expected LOW, Iowa State)
  • βœ“ Whitman County, WA β€” 10.3th percentile (expected LOW, Washington State University)
  • βœ“ Tompkins County, NY β€” 7.6th percentile (expected LOW, Cornell)

Highest / lowest AVI by county population

Under 50,000

Highest
  1. Catron County, NM β€” 100.0th pctile (pop. 3,743)
  2. De Baca County, NM β€” 99.9th pctile (pop. 1,576)
  3. Ozark County, MO β€” 99.8th pctile (pop. 8,873)
  4. Scott County, VA β€” 99.6th pctile (pop. 21,479)
  5. Harney County, OR β€” 99.6th pctile (pop. 7,499)
Lowest
  1. Martin County, TX β€” 0.0th pctile (pop. 5,218)
  2. Jim Hogg County, TX β€” 0.1th pctile (pop. 4,727)
  3. Haskell County, KS β€” 0.1th pctile (pop. 3,641)
  4. Hanson County, SD β€” 0.1th pctile (pop. 3,472)
  5. Trousdale County, TN β€” 0.2th pctile (pop. 11,957)

50,000-99,999

Highest
  1. Nye County, NV β€” 96.7th pctile (pop. 54,344)
  2. Gila County, AZ β€” 96.7th pctile (pop. 53,795)
  3. Raleigh County, WV β€” 96.0th pctile (pop. 73,195)
  4. Wilkes County, NC β€” 95.6th pctile (pop. 65,935)
  5. Pittsylvania County, VA β€” 94.0th pctile (pop. 59,856)
Lowest
  1. Oldham County, KY β€” 0.0th pctile (pop. 69,257)
  2. Eagle County, CO β€” 0.2th pctile (pop. 55,135)
  3. Lincoln County, SD β€” 0.5th pctile (pop. 70,638)
  4. Johnson County, MO β€” 0.9th pctile (pop. 54,732)
  5. Lafayette County, MS β€” 1.3th pctile (pop. 58,327)

100,000-299,999

Highest
  1. Highlands County, FL β€” 95.9th pctile (pop. 105,702)
  2. Mohave County, AZ β€” 93.9th pctile (pop. 220,517)
  3. Douglas County, OR β€” 93.0th pctile (pop. 112,072)
  4. Charlotte County, FL β€” 90.8th pctile (pop. 201,064)
  5. Indian River County, FL β€” 90.3th pctile (pop. 166,936)
Lowest
  1. Union County, NC β€” 0.8th pctile (pop. 250,958)
  2. Scott County, MN β€” 1.1th pctile (pop. 154,557)
  3. Williamson County, TN β€” 1.2th pctile (pop. 260,351)
  4. St. Mary's County, MD β€” 1.3th pctile (pop. 115,126)
  5. Dallas County, IA β€” 1.5th pctile (pop. 107,968)

300,000 and higher

Highest
  1. Pinellas County, FL β€” 90.1th pctile (pop. 963,481)
  2. Collier County, FL β€” 89.9th pctile (pop. 398,291)
  3. Marion County, FL β€” 87.1th pctile (pop. 400,078)
  4. Lee County, FL β€” 86.1th pctile (pop. 817,666)
  5. Palm Beach County, FL β€” 85.0th pctile (pop. 1,533,806)
Lowest
  1. Hamilton County, IN β€” 0.6th pctile (pop. 365,056)
  2. Prince William Count, VA β€” 2.1th pctile (pop. 488,880)
  3. Davis County, UT β€” 2.1th pctile (pop. 370,924)
  4. Douglas County, CO β€” 2.2th pctile (pop. 377,150)
  5. Loudoun County, VA β€” 2.4th pctile (pop. 432,998)
Compare

Douglas County β€” Aging Vulnerability Index by census tract

Candidate index, not validated against ground truth β€” 2020–2024 ACS 5-year
Douglas County β€” Aging Vulnerability Index by census tract
Shading: Aging Vulnerability Index
Lower (33 to 43)Lower-middle (43 to 75)Middle (76 to 84)Upper-middle (85 to 91)Higher (92 to 100)
Each unit is shaded by its Aging Vulnerability Index value and grouped into equal-count bands (quantiles) against the other units shown β€” lighter = lower, darker = higher. It ranks position among the units in view; it does not grade places, and the ranges shift with which units are shown.

The map is bounded to this parent geography β€” it shows the selected unit among its own siblings only, the same depth rule the drill-down uses. Shading ranks position on the measure among the units shown; it does not grade places.

The panel shows the county overview. Click a tract for its own percentile and theme scores β€” the county overview stays visible alongside it for comparison.

Median tract: 80th percentile (among all U.S. tracts).
These tracts span the 33rd percentile to the 100th percentile. The width of that range is the internal disparity.
Well above the median14 (48%)
Above the median7 (24%)
Near the median5 (17%)
Below the median3 (10%)
Well below the median0 (0%)
Widest spread across these tracts: Health, Disability & Isolation β€” this theme most separates the higher- and lower-ranked tracts here.

AVI ranks each tract's position relative to a comparison set; it is not averaged into one number for the area, because percentiles do not average meaningfully. The distribution β€” median, range, and shape below β€” is the summary.
Well above the median β€” 14 tracts (80th–100th percentile)
Tract 800.02 β€” 100th percentile β€” Well above the median 4 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (well above), Health, Disability & Isolation ‑ (well above), Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑ (above) and Social Isolation (well above); near the median on Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 200.00 β€” 98th percentile β€” Well above the median 7 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (well above), Health, Disability & Isolation ‑ (well above), Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑ (above) and Social Isolation ‑ (well above); below the median on Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 900.01 β€” 97th percentile β€” Well above the median 7 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (well above), Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑ (well above), Health, Disability & Isolation ‑ (above), Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑ (well above) and Social Isolation ‑ (well above).
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 500.04 β€” 95th percentile β€” Well above the median 6 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (well above), Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑ (well above) and Social Isolation ‑ (well above); near the median on Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑ and Health, Disability & Isolation ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 1400.00 β€” 95th percentile β€” Well above the median 5 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (well above), Economic Precarity, 65+ (well above), Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑ (well above) and Social Isolation ‑ (above); below the median on Health, Disability & Isolation ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 1600.02 β€” 92nd percentile β€” Well above the median 7 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (well above), Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑ (above) and Social Isolation ‑ (well above); near the median on Health, Disability & Isolation ‑; below the median on Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 400.00 β€” 91st percentile β€” Well above the median 6 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (well above), Health, Disability & Isolation ‑ (above) and Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑ (well above); near the median on Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑ and Social Isolation ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 300.00 β€” 89th percentile β€” Well above the median 5 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure (above), Economic Precarity, 65+ (above), Health, Disability & Isolation ‑ (well above) and Social Isolation ‑ (above); near the median on Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 100.00 β€” 87th percentile β€” Well above the median 6 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (well above), Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑ (above), Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑ (above) and Social Isolation ‑ (above); below the median on Health, Disability & Isolation ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 1100.00 β€” 87th percentile β€” Well above the median 8 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (well above) and Health, Disability & Isolation ‑ (well above); near the median on Social Isolation ‑; below the median on Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑ and Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 800.01 β€” 86th percentile β€” Well above the median 4 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure (well above) and Social Isolation ‑ (above); near the median on Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑, Health, Disability & Isolation ‑ and Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 2000.00 β€” 85th percentile β€” Well above the median 3 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure (well above), Economic Precarity, 65+ (well above) and Health, Disability & Isolation ‑ (above); near the median on Social Isolation; below the median on Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 2100.00 β€” 84th percentile β€” Well above the median 4 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure (well above), Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑ (above) and Social Isolation (above); near the median on Health, Disability & Isolation ‑ and Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 1500.01 β€” 83rd percentile β€” Well above the median 6 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (well above), Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑ (above), Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑ (above) and Social Isolation ‑ (above); below the median on Health, Disability & Isolation ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Above the median β€” 7 tracts (60th–80th percentile)
Tract 1900.00 β€” 80th percentile β€” Above the median 5 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (above), Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑ (well above) and Social Isolation ‑ (well above); near the median on Health, Disability & Isolation ‑; below the median on Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 1700.00 β€” 79th percentile β€” Above the median 4 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (well above), Economic Precarity, 65+ (above) and Social Isolation ‑ (above); near the median on Health, Disability & Isolation ‑; below the median on Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 1500.02 β€” 77th percentile β€” Above the median 7 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (above), Health, Disability & Isolation ‑ (above), Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑ (above) and Social Isolation ‑ (well above); below the median on Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 600.00 β€” 76th percentile β€” Above the median 4 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure (well above); near the median on Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑ and Health, Disability & Isolation ‑; below the median on Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑ and Social Isolation ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 1300.02 β€” 75th percentile β€” Above the median 6 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (above), Health, Disability & Isolation ‑ (above) and Social Isolation ‑ (well above); near the median on Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑; below the median on Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 1800.00 β€” 73rd percentile β€” Above the median 7 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (above), Health, Disability & Isolation ‑ (above) and Social Isolation ‑ (above); near the median on Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑; below the median on Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 500.01 β€” 71st percentile β€” Above the median 6 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (well above); near the median on Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑, Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑ and Social Isolation ‑; below the median on Health, Disability & Isolation ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Near the median β€” 5 tracts (40th–60th percentile)
Tract 500.03 β€” 58th percentile β€” Near the median 6 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (well above) and Social Isolation ‑ (well above); below the median on Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑, Health, Disability & Isolation ‑ and Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 1600.01 β€” 48th percentile β€” Near the median 5 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (above); near the median on Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑ and Social Isolation ‑; below the median on Health, Disability & Isolation and Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 1200.02 β€” 43rd percentile β€” Near the median 5 of 12 flagged
Driven by Economic Precarity, 65+ (well above); near the median on Health, Disability & Isolation ‑ and Social Isolation ‑; below the median on Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ and Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 700.00 β€” 43rd percentile β€” Near the median 6 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (above); near the median on Health, Disability & Isolation ‑; below the median on Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑, Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑ and Social Isolation ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 1000.00 β€” 43rd percentile β€” Near the median 4 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (above) and Economic Precarity, 65+ (above); near the median on Social Isolation ‑; below the median on Health, Disability & Isolation and Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Below the median β€” 3 tracts (20th–40th percentile)
Tract 900.02 β€” 36th percentile β€” Below the median 4 of 12 flagged
Driven by Demographic Aging Pressure ‑ (well above); near the median on Social Isolation ‑; below the median on Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑, Health, Disability & Isolation and Housing & Transportation, 65+.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 1200.01 β€” 34th percentile β€” Below the median 5 of 12 flagged
Driven by Economic Precarity, 65+ ‑ (well above); near the median on Demographic Aging Pressure ‑; below the median on Health, Disability & Isolation, Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑ and Social Isolation ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
Tract 1300.01 β€” 33rd percentile β€” Below the median 6 of 12 flagged
Driven by Economic Precarity, 65+ (above) and Health, Disability & Isolation ‑ (well above); below the median on Demographic Aging Pressure ‑, Housing & Transportation, 65+ ‑ and Social Isolation ‑.
‑ theme includes at least one flagged input.
1 tract unranked β€” insufficient data
These carry no percentile. Excluded from the bands, median and range above, and never shown as a low score.
AVI = a candidate Aging Vulnerability Index, computed by this platform from American Community Survey 2020–2024 5-year estimates, following the same method shape (percentile rank -> theme sum -> re-rank -> overall) as the CDC/ATSDR SVI this platform also recomputes β€” but AVI itself has no published ground truth to validate against. It is a first-cut, directional design. Percentiles rank each tract against all U.S. tracts.
Several of AVI's 12 input signals carry a documented high margin of error at this grain (most notably lack of health insurance, 65+) and are kept in the index with a flag rather than dropped, to preserve variable coverage. A tract's flag count (shown per-tract above) is a direct measure of how much its rank should be read as directional rather than precise.

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